da aviator aposta： This article is part of Football FanCast’s Opinion series, which provides analysis, insight and opinion on any issue within the beautiful game, from Paul Pogba’s haircuts to League Two relegation battles…
da prosport bet： Everton suffered yet another Premier League defeat over the weekend, meaning the Blues have now registered six losses so far in the top-flight – the joint-most in the league. This has put further pressure on Marco Silva, with the board giving him just three games after the Burnley defeat to save his job.
However, two of those games have passed and it is one defeat and one win for the former Watford manager since those reports emerged. No doubt the next fixture is an absolute must-win for him.
Despite such dreadful form, an alternative league presented by Understat.com depicts the season in an alternative light, one that indicates a lack of fortune on the road.
The above table shows that, according to the xPTS (expected points) algorithm, Everton were expected to pick up eight points from their away trips this season – the fourth highest in the league after Manchester City, Manchester United and Wolves.
The reality is much bleaker for the Toffees, with Silva’s men collecting just a solitary point on their travels following a 0-0 draw with Crystal Palace on the opening day of the campaign.
While no league was ever won and lost based on a series of complicated alogrithims, the stats still offer Everton reason for optimism in the coming weeks. One of football’s most profound and widely accepted adages suggests that, over a longer period of time, things have a peculiar habit of evening themselves out.
By that logic the Toffees have been desperately unlucky thus far – the ludicrous penalty decision that went in Brighton’s favour on Saturday attested to that – and eventually their luck will turn around, particularly on the road where results have been akin to what you’d expect from a firm candidate for relegation.
Up next for the Blues on the road is the trip to St Mary’s, where Southampton recently let in nine against Leicester City. If you take this into account, plus Everton’s expected points tally, supporters should be confident they can get back to winning ways on the road.
However, shortly after this journey down south, the club will travel to Anfield for the Merseyside derby.
In truth, things can’t get much worse for them on the road having picked up just one point in the 2019/20 season, but there is clearly statistical evidence to suggest results haven’t been representative of the standard of their performances.
In a time when Silva’s credentials are being placed under intense scrutiny, there is reason to trust in the Portuguese manager for the time being.